Monday, May 28, 2018
Time | Event | |
12:00 - 13:30 | Registration and lunch | |
13:30 - 15:00 | Sébastien Laurent (Room 24) | |
15:00 - 15:20 | Coffee break | |
15:20 - 17:00 | Sébastien Laurent (Room 24) |
Tuesday, May 29, 2018
Time | Event | |
09:00 - 10:20 | Sébastien Laurent (Room 24) | |
10:20 - 10:40 | Coffee break | |
10:40 - 12:00 | Sébastien Laurent (Room 24) | |
12:00 - 13:30 | Lunch | |
13:30 - 15:00 | Andrew Patton (Room 24) | |
15:00 - 15:20 | Coffee break | |
15:20 - 17:00 | Andrew Patton (Room 24) |
Wednesday, May 30, 2018
Time | Event | |
09:00 - 10:20 | Andrew Patton (Room 24) | |
10:20 - 10:40 | Coffee break | |
10:40 - 12:00 | Andrew Patton (Room 24) | |
12:00 - 13:15 | Welcoming Lunch and Registration | |
13:15 - 13:30 | Forewords | |
13:30 - 14:15 | Dick van Dijk - Erasmus School of Economics (Amphitheater) - Improved forecasting of the implied volatility surface | |
14:25 - 16:05 | QF1 (Room 21) | |
14:25 - 14:50 | › Time-Varying Persistence in Real Oil Prices and its Determinant - Christoph Wegener, IPAG Business School | |
14:50 - 15:15 | › Fundamental Bubbles in Equity Markets - florian ielpo, Centre d\'économie de la Sorbonne | |
15:15 - 15:40 | › Estimating Nominal Interest Rate Expectations: Overnight Indexed Swaps and the Term Structure - Simon Lloyd, Bank of England | |
15:40 - 16:05 | › A Volatility-Induced Stationary Term Structure Model - Anne Lundgaard Hansen, University of Copenhagen, Danmarks Nationalbank | |
14:25 - 16:05 | FE1a (Amphitheater) | |
14:25 - 14:50 | › High-frequency volatility in a time deformed framework, the role of volume, durations and jumps through intraday data - Antonio Santos, University of Coimbra | |
14:50 - 15:15 | › Structural Estimation of Dynamic Macroeconomic Models using Higher-Frequency Financial Data - Max Ole Liemen, Universität Hamburg | |
15:15 - 15:40 | › A simple measure of microstructure noise - Merrick Li, University of Amsterdam and Tinbergen Institute | |
15:40 - 16:05 | › Asymptotic Theory for Renewal Based High-Frequency Volatility Estimation - Yifan Li, Lancaster University Management School | |
14:25 - 16:05 | FE1b (Room 24) | |
14:25 - 14:50 | › Nonlinearities and Regimes in Conditional Correlations with Different Dynamics - Luc Bauwens, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics | |
14:50 - 15:15 | › Modelling Realized Covariance Matrices with Stochastic Volatility Latent Factors: Filter, Likelihood, Forecast - Halbleib Roxana, University of Konstanz | |
15:15 - 15:40 | › Forecasting Optimal Portfolio Weights Using High Frequency Data - Alessandro Palandri, Dublin City University Business School | |
15:40 - 16:05 | › Dynamic Principal Component CAW Models for High-Dimensional Realized Covariance Matrices - Michael Stollenwerk, Heidelberg University | |
16:05 - 16:30 | Coffee break | |
16:30 - 17:40 | QFFE2 (Plenary session) (Amphitheater) | |
16:30 - 17:05 | › Virtual Historical Simulation for estimating the conditional VaR of large portfolios - Jean-Michel Zakoian, CREST | |
17:05 - 17:40 | › Disastrous Defaults - christian gourieroux, UNIVERSITY OF TORONTO, Centre de Recherche en Économie et Statistique |
Thursday, May 31, 2018
Time | Event | |
08:30 - 09:00 | Welcoming Coffee | |
09:00 - 10:40 | QF3 (Room 21) | |
09:00 - 09:25 | › Empirical Asset Pricing with Multi-Period Disasters: A Simulation-Based Approach - Jantje Sönksen, University of Tübingen | |
09:25 - 09:50 | › Price Efficiency in Markets with Stochastic Latency - Stefan Voigt, Vienna Graduate School of Finance | |
09:50 - 10:15 | › Dynamic Trade Informativeness - Jinyuan Zhang, Institut Européen dádministration des Affaires - Bart Yueshen, Institut Européen dádministration des Affaires | |
10:15 - 10:40 | › Rational Expectations or Distorted Beliefs? Measuring Beliefs from Asset Prices - Guillaume Roussellet, McGill University | |
09:00 - 10:40 | FE3a (Amphitheater) | |
09:00 - 09:25 | › Zeros - Roberto Renò, Department of Economics - University of Verona | |
09:25 - 09:50 | › Jumps or flatness? - Aleksey Kolokolov, Goethe-University Frankfurt am Main | |
09:50 - 10:15 | › The Beta-Adjusted Covariance estimator - Kirill Dragun, Vrije Universiteit [Brussel] | |
10:15 - 10:40 | › Integrated and spot Betas in a continuous time Multi-Factor: Theory and Estimation - Orimar Sauri, Department of Mathematics, Aarhus University | |
09:00 - 10:40 | FE3b (Room 24) | |
09:00 - 09:25 | › Forecasting Large Realized Covariance Matrices: The Benefits of Factor Models and Shrinkage - Ruy Ribeiro, Pontifical Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro | |
09:25 - 09:50 | › Return predictability and risk management - Mamiko Yamashita, Toulouse School of Economics | |
09:50 - 10:15 | › Out-of-sample equity premium prediction: A complete subset quantile regression approach - Ekaterini Panopoulou, Kent Business School | |
10:15 - 10:40 | › Portfolio Pretesting with Machine Learning - Ekaterina Kazak, University of Konstanz | |
10:40 - 11:05 | Coffee break | |
11:05 - 12:20 | FE4 (Amphitheater) | |
11:05 - 11:30 | › High-dimensional penalized ARCH processes - Jean-David Fermanian, Centre de Recherche en Économie et Statistique (CREST) - Benjamin Poignard, Centre de Recherche en Économie et Statistique (CREST) | |
11:30 - 11:55 | › Asymptotics of Cholesky GARCH Models and Time-Varying Conditional Betas - Christian Francq, CREST | |
11:55 - 12:20 | › Modelling time-varying volatility interactions with an application to volatility contagion - Susana Martins, University of Minho | |
11:05 - 12:20 | QF4 (Room 24) | |
11:05 - 11:30 | › Do Hedge Funds Hedge? New Evidence from Tail Risk Premia Embedded in Options - ANMAR AL WAKIL, University Paris-Dauphine, PSL Research University - SERGE DAROLLES, University Paris-Dauphine, PSL Research University | |
11:30 - 11:55 | › Managing Hedge Fund Liquidity Risks - Serge Darolles, University Paris-Dauphine | |
11:55 - 12:20 | › Trends everywhere? The case of hedge fund styles - Charles Chevalier, University Paris-Dauphine | |
12:20 - 13:40 | Lunch | |
13:40 - 15:20 | QF5 (Room 21) | |
13:40 - 14:05 | › How important are GSI banks for the financial distress in the Eurozone? An analysis based on MIDAS VAR - IEVA MIKALIUNAITE, University of Palermo | |
14:05 - 14:30 | › Carry and Trend Following Returns in the Foreign Exchange Market - Peter Smith, University of York [York, UK] | |
14:30 - 14:55 | › Geographic Dependence and Diversication in House Price Returns: the Role of Leverage - Andreas Heinen, Andreas Heinen | |
14:55 - 15:20 | › Agent-Based Model in Directional-Change Intrinsic Time - Vladimir Petrov, University of Zurich | |
13:40 - 15:20 | FE5a (Amphitheater) | |
13:40 - 14:05 | › Robust Inference under Time-Varying Volatility - A Real-Time Evaluation of Professional Forecasters - Robinson Kruse, University of Cologne | |
14:05 - 14:30 | › Equation-by-Equation Estimation of Multivariate Periodic Electricity Price Volatility - Sucarrat Genaro, BI Norwegian Business School | |
14:30 - 14:55 | › Direct volatility modeling - Kevin Sheppard, University of Oxford [Oxford] | |
14:55 - 15:20 | › Two are better than one: volatility forecasting using multiplicative component GARCH models - Christian Conrad, Heidelberg University | |
13:40 - 15:20 | FE5b (Room 24) | |
13:40 - 14:05 | › Bayesian Markov switching tensor regression for time varying networks - Matteo Iacopini, Ca'Foscari University of Venice | |
14:05 - 14:30 | › Signed spillover ee ts building on historical decompositions - Mardi Dungey, University of Tasmania (AUSTRALIA) | |
14:30 - 14:55 | › Vector Quantile Autoregression: A Random Coefficient Approach - Sulkhan Chavleishvili, European Central Bank | |
14:55 - 15:20 | › On the robustness of the principal volatility components - Pedro Valls Pereira, Sao Paulo School of Economics - FGV | |
15:20 - 15:45 | Coffee break | |
15:45 - 17:25 | QF6 (Room 21) | |
15:45 - 16:10 | › Negative Skewness of Asset Returns with Positive Time-Varying Risk Premia - Dimitra Kyriakopoulou, Université catholique de Louvain | |
16:10 - 16:35 | › Time-Varying Risk Premia in Large International Equity Markets - Hugues Langlois, Ecole des Hautes Etudes Commerciales | |
16:35 - 17:00 | › Credit Risk Premia Embedded in Sovereign Credit Default Swaps - Rob Sperna Weiland, University of Amsterdam [Amsterdam] | |
17:00 - 17:25 | › Price discovery measure and High frequency data - christian nguenang kapnang, Toulouse School of Economics | |
15:45 - 17:25 | FE6 (Amphitheater) | |
15:45 - 16:10 | › Forecast Comparisons for Long Memory - Guillaume Chevillon, ESSEC Business School | |
16:10 - 16:35 | › Whittle Estimation of Multivariate Exponential Volatility Models with long memory - Malvina Marchese, Cass Business School, London | |
16:35 - 17:00 | › Forecasting Realized Volatility Measures with Multivariate and Univariate Models: The Case of The US Banking Sector - Alain Hecq, Maastricht University, Maastricht University | |
20:00 - 23:00 | Gala dinner |
Friday, June 1, 2018
Time | Event | |
09:00 - 09:30 | Welcoming Coffee | |
09:30 - 11:10 | FE7a (Amphitheater) | |
09:30 - 09:55 | › Nonlinear Predictability of Stock Returns? Parametric vs. nonparametric inference in predictive regressions - Matei Demetrescu, University of Kiel | |
09:55 - 10:20 | › How far can we forecast? Statistical tests of the predictive content - Joerg Breitung, University of Cologne | |
10:20 - 10:45 | › Multi-Horizon Forecast Comparison - Rogier Quaedvlieg, Erasmus University Rotterdam | |
10:45 - 11:10 | › Time Varying Heteroskedastic Realized GARCH models for tracking measurement error bias in volatility forecasting - Giuseppe Storti, University of Salerno | |
09:30 - 11:10 | FE7b (Room 24) | |
09:30 - 09:55 | › Regression Based Expected Shortfall Backtesting - Timo Dimitriadis, Universität Konstanz | |
09:55 - 10:20 | › Testing for Extreme Volatility Transmission with Realized Volatility Measures - Elena Dumitrescu, EconomiX - Gilles de Truchis, EconomiX | |
10:20 - 10:45 | › Decomposing and backtesting a flexible specification for CoVaR - Giovanni Bonaccolto, Kore University of Enna | |
10:45 - 11:10 | › High dimensional covariance matrix estimation with l1-regularized factor models - Maurizio Daniele, University of Konstanz | |
11:10 - 11:35 | Coffee break | |
11:35 - 12:20 | Andrew Patton - Duke University (Amphitheater) - Realized SemiCovariances: Looking for Signs of Direction Inside the Covariance Matrix | |
12:20 - 13:40 | Lunch |